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SPDR Long Term Treasury Portfolio ETF
(NY:
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-0.25 (-0.87%)
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Updated: 8:00 PM EDT, Aug 30, 2024
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Soaring Inflation Suppresses Consumer Confidence
October 17, 2021
Markets turn risk on. Producer prices rise to levels not seen since peak #inflation of the 1970s. Inflation is double the Fed’s benchmark now and will be triple by year end.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
10-Tear T-Yield Likely Hit Its High In March
October 13, 2021
The Fed is under intense pressure to not only taper but to do so with aggression. Going by the prior three iterations of QE, the 10-year tends to peak mid-way through the program. In March, rates...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Earnings Season Set To Begin This Week
October 11, 2021
The 3Q earnings season begins in earnest this week. Leading up to this, the revision trend is up and stocks have come under a little pressure. Post-earnings reaction will be influenced by several...
Via
Talk Markets
10-Year T-Yield’s March High Could Prove To Be Important In Current QE
October 07, 2021
On a 12-month basis, the US budget deficit may have peaked, but at the same time the Fed is getting ready to taper. In the past, the 10-year peaked mid-way through QE. From this perspective, the March...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Rates Spark: No Respite
October 06, 2021
The respite has been brief for rates markets as the sell-off resumed yesterday, taking yields back to the previous week’s highs. Inflation angst is still playing out with inflation swaps and breakeven...
Via
Talk Markets
After Tough September, Major US Equity Indices Ready For Relief Rally
October 04, 2021
Investor sentiment has taken a hit in recent weeks and it can continue lower under the right circumstances, although a pause is likely right here and now, helping stocks.
Via
Talk Markets
Why Wall Street Loves The Dollar Now
September 27, 2021
The road to higher Treasury yields finally appears to be clearing up as the Fed edges closer to ending emergency pandemic policies. This is certainly good news to the greenback.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
S&P 500 50-Day Once Again Defended As Fed Readies To Taper/Tighten
September 27, 2021
The 50-day on the S&P 500 was once again defended. Households’ equity exposure will hit another high in 3Q, even as margin debt jumped to yet another record in August. Amidst these signs of excesses,...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Stocks
Exposures
Interest Rates
US Equities
AUD/USD Outlook: Risk Pressures Under 0.73 Despite Upbeat Q2 CAPEX
August 26, 2021
The AUD/USD price outlook remains bearish as the pressure mounts amid sour risk stemming from rising COVID-19 cases in the country.
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
COVID-19
The Fed Speaks
August 19, 2021
S&P 500 futures are currently down 25 points in the overnight session and crude oil is over 3% lower at $63. 10-year UST yields are about 4bps lower at 1.23%. Seems the Fed minutes from yesterday are...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Stocks
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
Interest Rates
US Equities
Weekly Commentary: Ebb And Flow
August 08, 2021
The U.S. economy created 943,000 jobs in July. With upward revisions, there were 938,000 positions added in June and 614,000 in May – for a notable three-month employment surge of almost 2.5 million.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Weekly Commentary: The King Of Carry Trades
August 01, 2021
Chinese private education, real estate development and technology stocks were hammered on a confluence of central government regulatory actions. Some of these include far-reaching policy measures are...
Via
Talk Markets
On Guard, Lagarde
July 22, 2021
The rally in US shares yesterday, ostensibly fueled by strong earnings reports, is helping to encourage risk appetites today. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index is posting its biggest gain in around two...
Via
Talk Markets
Inflationary Inflection Point or Temporary Blip?
July 19, 2021
During the last three months inflation has become a much debated topic. This article, which was published in March, may still add something to the increasingly heated debate.
Via
Talk Markets
Oil Supply & Risk Sentiment Suggest More Upside For Dollar
July 19, 2021
There is more upside for the dollar in the near term as the OPEC+ agreement to increase oil supplies, weigh on energy companies in Asia and add to the negative tone from last week’s equities close.
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Commentary: Under Fire
July 18, 2021
The week had an ominous feel. Ten-year Treasury yields dropped another seven bps to 1.29% - completely disregarding much stronger-than-expected reports on consumer and producer prices, along with...
Via
Talk Markets
Market Underprices Rate Hike Risks
July 18, 2021
Bob Rubin was US Treasury Secretary from 1995-99 under Bill Clinton. Early in his tenure, the US$ came under severe downward pressure. Market pundits kept calling for the Treasury to provide US$...
Via
Talk Markets
RBNZ Moves Ahead Of The Queue, Will The Bank Of Canada Maintain Its Place?
July 14, 2021
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand jumped to the front of the queue of central banks adjusting monetary policy by announcing the end of its long-term asset purchases. New Zealand's s 10-year benchmark...
Via
Talk Markets
The 3rd Quarter Interest Rate Test
July 12, 2021
Many investors have been scratching their heads over lower yields given Consumer Price Index inflation is running 5% and oil prices moving higher. The picture becomes clear when you look at the U.S....
Via
Talk Markets
The Dollar Reverses Lower: Is This The Real Thing?
July 04, 2021
The dollar's bounce extended further than we expected, helped by an aggressively hawkish view of the Fed, which has seen the market price in more than one hike before the end of next year.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
European Political Drama Kicks Off Big Economic Week
June 28, 2021
Global capital markets are off to a quiet start of what promises to be a busy week. Quarter and month-end adjustments, Japan's Tankan survey, the eurozone's preliminary June CPI, the US employment...
Via
Talk Markets
Dollar Surge Stalls
June 21, 2021
Pressure on equities seen last week carried over into Asia and Europe today. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell for the fourth consecutive session, led by more than a 3% decline in the Nikkei.
Via
Talk Markets
SPDR-ETF Report For Sunday, Jun. 20
June 21, 2021
Ira Epstein reviews the days' trading in various SPDR-ETF markets for the week just ended.
Via
Talk Markets
Fed Meeting Aftermath: Equities Lower, Bond Yields Stable Despite Rate Hike Projections
June 17, 2021
The hotly anticipated Fed day has come and gone, and markets have reacted widely as expected. It isn’t an easy job to convince market participants that all is well and good, but the Fed seems to have...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Positioning And Momentum Trump Interest Rate Considerations
June 13, 2021
The US 10-year yield fell last week to its lowest level in three months, and the weekly decline was one of the largest in the past year. The implied yield of the December 2022 Eurodollar futures...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Government
Exposures
Political
Without Yield Support, The Dollar Wilts
June 09, 2021
Falling US yields weigh on the US dollar. The 10-year Treasury yield is flirting with the 1.50% mark, and the greenback is trading heavily against all the major and most emerging market currencies.
Via
Talk Markets
Treasury Market’s Reflation Pricing Is On Hold, For Now
May 26, 2021
After rebounding sharply from pandemic lows, the 10-year Treasury yield is nearly back to levels that prevailed before Covid-19 began to roil the global economy in early 2020.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
COVID-19
Economy
Now What Does Bitcoin Say About The Dollar And The US?
May 19, 2021
Back when Bitcoin first rose above $50k, many people claimed that it said something about Fed policy or about the role of the dollar, or even the US, in the world. And now?
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Market Briefing For Tuesday, May 18
May 18, 2021
The internal dynamics of this market are essentially unchanged. After a spooky series of shuffles last week, we see no confirming signals of a holiday-seasonal rally or immediate resumption of...
Via
Talk Markets
Correlation Between Stocks And Bonds Hit The Highest Since 1999
May 16, 2021
After being mostly in negative territory over the past 15 years, the correlation between stocks and bonds jumped to the highest level since 1999.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
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