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SPDR Long Term Treasury Portfolio ETF
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Updated: 8:00 PM EDT, Aug 30, 2024
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Recession Signals – Week In Review
April 04, 2022
Investors are always looking for a signal that the global and US economy is slowing down and a recession is coming. One significant indicator is the yield curve, the plot of interest rates for US...
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Commentary: Historic Q1 2022
April 03, 2022
IS Putin’s overarching goal to divide the world? Putin has over the years railed against a U.S.-dominated world. He abhors the dollar-based global financial apparatus.
Via
Talk Markets
US Bond Market Amidst Interesting Dynamics
March 30, 2022
The US bond market is in the thick of interesting dynamics. The Fed plans to reduce its bloated balance sheet meaning less demand for treasury notes and bonds even as foreigners are buying more and the...
Via
Talk Markets
Interest Rate Forecasts – Survey Of Professional Forecasters February Survey
February 14, 2022
Even before the Thursday’s CPI release, forecasters had upped their short term rate forecasts, along with long term rate forecasts..
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: Are You Diversified?
February 07, 2022
There were some wild, unprecedented – frankly stunning – swings in some very large, high-profile stocks last week. Facebook managed to lose a quarter of a trillion dollars in market cap in the course...
Via
Talk Markets
Rates Spark: The Tone Is Set
January 12, 2022
US CPI expected to rise to 7% will be the main headline-grabber today, but we think the (hawkish) tone is already set in markets. In EUR rates, the curve steepening shows that supply is the dominant...
Via
Talk Markets
Gold Stays Close To 3-Week Peak On Omicron Jitters
December 20, 2021
Gold prices held steady near a three-week high as concerns over the rapid spread of the Omicron coronavirus boosted the metal’s safe-haven appeal.
Via
Talk Markets
Thoughts For Thursday: Omicron Panic Or Market Alert?
December 02, 2021
Via
Talk Markets
GBP/USD Price Sliding towards 1.35 Amid Brexit Talks
February 07, 2022
While the GBP/USD price is down for the second consecutive day ahead of the London open on Monday. It remains near intraday lows of 1.3520.
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Commentary: The High-Wire Act Has Commenced
January 30, 2022
Geez. I guess it’s been a long time since we’ve experienced a hawkish central banker. Powell needed to talk tough on inflation. Yet he seemed determined to occupy the middle ground. There was no...
Via
Talk Markets
Bund Yields Turn Positive For First Time In 3 Years, USTs Bounce Off Critical Support
January 19, 2022
German 10Y yields climbed above zero for the first time since May 2019 just as money markets brought forward bets on a 10-basis-point European Central Bank rate hike to September from October...
Via
Talk Markets
Forex Today: Stocks Fall As US Treasury Yields Spike
January 19, 2022
Global stock markets are dropping firmly on interest rate fears as US Treasury yields spike to new highs.
Via
Talk Markets
Fed's Minutes Roils Markets
January 06, 2022
The minutes from last month's FOMC meeting seemed to imply a more aggressive Federal Reserve that rippled through the capital markets, spurring a sell-off in stocks and bonds and helping to lift the US...
Via
Talk Markets
Market Briefing For Tuesday, Jan. 4,
January 04, 2022
Apple and Tesla were essential in leading the S&P to another record high yesterday. The day was iffy and these two gave the headroom for the rest of the market to gain energy.
Via
Talk Markets
Macro Briefing: January 3, 2022
January 03, 2022
BlackRock and Vanguard are cautious on US Treasury market outlook for 2022, as US 10yr Treasury yield starts 2022 at middling rate relative to 2021’s range.
Via
Talk Markets
Trading Inflation Expectations
December 26, 2021
Spiking inflation has been a hot-button topic in 2021, but U.S. Treasury yields have actually declined in recent weeks, suggesting there may be more to this story than meets the eye.
Via
Talk Markets
European Stocks Fall Sharply, Oil Slips As Omicron Concerns Mount
December 20, 2021
The year-end rally in stocks could still happen as the market moves into the holiday season proper, despite the immediate outlook being clouded by concerns over the Omicron variant.
Via
Talk Markets
Budding COVID Concerns…
December 20, 2021
The market will likely open up to weakness this week. We may see it retest the November lows before gearing up for its next leg up. The S&P at 4,587 is the Dec monthly open price and will act as an...
Via
Talk Markets
Has the Market Carried the Fed's Water?
December 15, 2021
The USD is trading with a bit of heavier bias against most of the major currencies as the focus turns to today's FOMC meeting, where a clear consensus has emerged in favor of faster tapering and a dot...
Via
Talk Markets
End Of Day Financial Report For Tuesday Dec. 14
December 15, 2021
Ira Epstein reviews the day's trading in the Financial markets for the trading day just ended, Tuesday, December 14.
Via
Talk Markets
Tuesday Talk: Swingtime in December
December 07, 2021
Via
Talk Markets
Futures Rebound From Friday Rout As Omicron Fears Ease
December 06, 2021
S&P futures and European stocks rebounded from Friday’s selloff while Asian shares fell, as investors took comfort in reports from South Africa which said initial data doesn’t show a surge of...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Monday Bounce, Not So Fast!
December 06, 2021
While lighter than the past, today’s SPX options expiration shows positive gamma at 4560.00 and higher, while negative gamma starts at 4550.00.
Via
Talk Markets
The Market’s Sanguine Inflation Outlook
December 05, 2021
Last week Fed chair Jay Powell pivoted away from “transitory”, and adopted a tone more in keeping with the market’s newly revised interest rate forecast. As a result, today’s yield curve is far away...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
UST 10-Year Rockets — A Misguided Attempt At Beating The Fed To The Punch
November 08, 2021
For some investors (computerized or not) fears of higher interest rates and inflation trump a rip-roaring economy with a tankful of fiscal stimulus and easy monetary policy as far as the eye can see.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
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End of Day Financial Report For Tuesday, Oct. 26
October 27, 2021
Ira Epstein reviews the day's trading in the Financial markets for the trading day just ended, Tuesday, October 26.
Via
Talk Markets
Life Without The Bond Vigilantes
October 24, 2021
Faster tapering is the obvious change required of Fed policy. The Federal Reserve balance sheet sits at a record $8.5TN. Current expectations are for the Fed’s $120BN of monthly bond buying to be...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
Thoughts For Thursday: Markets Higher And Halloween Closer
October 21, 2021
Via
Talk Markets
10-Year T-Yield Caught Between Increased Demand From Foreigners And Imminent Tapering
October 21, 2021
Bond bears likely view the imminent tapering of T-notes/bonds as a tailwind to their outlook but not foreigners’ recent increased purchases of these securities.
Via
Talk Markets
Pricing In A Less Dovish Fed
October 20, 2021
Bond yields have drifted up 0.25% over the past month. Real yields on TIPs have barely budged from around –1%, so the move in bonds has translated into rising inflation expectations — now solidly above...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
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