Net Cash from Operating Activities of $2.87 Billion, Free Cash Flow of $2.17 Billion

Grain Prices, Industrial Recovery Support Continued Nitrogen Demand Strength

Global Supply-Demand Dynamics Underpin Substantial Cash Generation Outlook

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: CF), a leading global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products, today announced results for the full year and fourth quarter ended December 31, 2021.

Highlights

• Full year net earnings of $917 million⁽¹⁾, or $4.24 per diluted share, and EBITDA⁽²⁾ of $2.17 billion, which include the impact of pre-tax non-cash impairment charges of $521 million related to the Company’s U.K. operations; adjusted EBITDA⁽²⁾ of $2.74 billion
• Fourth quarter earnings of $705 million⁽¹⁾, or $3.27 per diluted share, and EBITDA of $1.19 billion; adjusted EBITDA of $1.26 billion
• Full year net cash from operating activities of $2.87 billion, free cash flow⁽³⁾ of $2.17 billion, both Company records
• Repurchased approximately 7.5 million shares for $490 million during the fourth quarter, effectively completing the $1 billion share repurchase authorization that expired December 31, 2021
• The U.S. Department of Commerce (Commerce) made preliminary determinations in January 2022 that Russian urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) imports are dumped into the U.S. at margins ranging from 9.15% to 127.19%, and that Trinidadian UAN imports are dumped into the U.S. at a margin of 63.08%

“The CF Industries team delivered outstanding results in 2021 as strong global nitrogen demand, lower global operating rates and favorable energy spreads drove Company-record free cash generation,” said Tony Will, president and chief executive officer, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. “We expect global nitrogen fundamentals to remain positive, underpinned by the need to replenish global grains stocks, increased economic activity and global energy dynamics. We are well-positioned to continue to drive strong cash generation, enabling us to invest in our clean energy initiatives, return substantial capital to shareholders and achieve our goal of $3 billion of gross debt by 2023.”

Nitrogen Market Outlook

Management expects the global nitrogen supply and demand balance to remain tight for the foreseeable future and for the commercial environment to be highly favorable for producers in low-cost regions.

Global nitrogen inventory entering 2022 is believed to be low following a year of strong demand and lower production due to the impact of energy-related production curtailments and shutdowns in Europe, weather-related disruptions in North America and stagnant production levels in countries such as India. High energy prices in Europe and Asia, along with ongoing restrictions on exports of certain nitrogen products from Russia, Egypt, Turkey and China, suggest global nitrogen supply will continue to be challenged.

At the same time, management expects global demand for nitrogen to remain robust. The need to replenish global grains stocks continues to support high front month and forward prices for nitrogen-consuming crops. These crop prices support high levels of planting and incentivize fertilizer application. Additionally, increased economic activity continues to drive strong demand for diesel exhaust fluid for emissions abatement as well as ammonia, urea and nitric acid for industrial uses.

Energy differentials between Europe and Asia versus low cost regions remain significant. This has steepened the global nitrogen cost curve and increased margin opportunities for low-cost North American producers. Forward curves suggest that these favorable energy spreads will persist throughout 2022 and into 2023.

North America: Management projects corn plantings in the United States will be 91 to 93 million acres in 2022 based on positive economic returns for farmers and a robust fall ammonia application season. The Company believes that other nitrogen-consuming crops (wheat, cotton and canola) will be planted at high levels in 2022 as well. Industrial activity in the region continues to increase in line with economic activity, supporting further demand for nitrogen products.

India: Urea imports to India from April-December 2021 were approximately 2 million metric tons lower and domestic urea production was flat compared to the same time period in 2020. Published reports indicate that this lower-than-expected level of imports and domestic production has resulted in low urea inventory levels in India. A new urea tender for India was issued in January, and management expects India will tender regularly in the coming months to meet urea demand in the country, which is projected to remain strong.

Brazil/South America: Strong global corn prices coupled with drought conditions in Southern Brazil and Argentina, which has reduced production forecasts for the current first crop corn, support higher planted corn acres in 2022 and continued strong demand for nitrogen and urea imports.

Europe: A substantial supply of liquefied natural gas cargoes rerouted to Europe in January 2022 allowed energy prices in the region to moderate from record highs, though they remain elevated compared to the prior year. Forward curves for natural gas in Europe remain above historical norms, challenging producer profitability and likely resulting in continued lower operating rates in the region.

China: Urea exports from China are expected to be limited through at least the first half of 2022 as the Chinese government has implemented measures to discourage urea exports and promote the availability and affordability of fertilizers domestically. Additionally, published reports indicate that the Chinese government has issued supply contracts to build temporary reserves for summer application. It is estimated that over 1 million metric tons of urea could be accumulated for the country’s first-ever summer fertilizer reserve plan.

Operations Overview

The Company continues to operate safely and efficiently across its network. As of December 31, 2021, the 12-month rolling average recordable incident rate was 0.32 incidents per 200,000 work hours, significantly better than industry benchmarks.

Gross ammonia production for the fourth quarter of 2021 was approximately 2.5 million tons, and was approximately 9.3 million tons for the full year. Management expects gross ammonia production for 2022 will return to historical levels (9.5 to 10.0 million tons) based on normal operating conditions and a return to a typical level of planned maintenance activities.

Financial Results Overview

Full Year 2021 Financial Results

For the full year 2021, net earnings attributable to common stockholders were $917 million, or $4.24 per diluted share, and EBITDA was $2.17 billion, which include the impact of pre-tax non-cash impairment charges of $521 million related to the Company’s U.K. operations; adjusted EBITDA was $2.74 billion. These results compare to the full year 2020 net earnings attributable to common stockholders of $317 million, or $1.47 per diluted share; EBITDA of $1.32 billion; and adjusted EBITDA of $1.35 billion.

Net sales for the full year 2021 were $6.5 billion compared to $4.1 billion for 2020. Average selling prices for 2021 were higher than 2020 across all segments due to strong global demand as well as decreased global supply availability as higher global energy costs drove lower global operating rates. Sales volumes for 2021 were lower than 2020 due to lower supply availability from higher than typical maintenance activity, two significant weather-related production outages and production curtailments at the Company’s U.K. plants due to high natural gas costs.

Cost of sales for 2021 was higher compared to 2020 due to higher natural gas costs and higher maintenance costs, partially offset by the impact of lower sales volumes and the gain the Company recognized from the net settlement of certain natural gas contracts with suppliers during February 2021.

The average cost of natural gas reflected in the Company’s cost of sales was $4.21 per MMBtu⁽⁴⁾ compared to $2.24 per MMBtu for 2020.

Fourth Quarter 2021 Financial Results

For the fourth quarter of 2021, net earnings attributable to common stockholders were $705 million, or $3.27 per diluted share; EBITDA was $1.19 billion; and adjusted EBITDA was $1.26 billion. These results compare to 2020 net earnings attributable to common stockholders of $87 million, or $0.40 per diluted share; EBITDA of $334 million; and adjusted EBITDA of $338 million.

Net sales in the fourth quarter of 2021 were $2.5 billion compared to $1.1 billion in 2020. Average selling prices for 2021 were higher than 2020 across all segments due to strong global demand as well as decreased global supply availability as higher global energy costs drove lower global operating rates. Sales volumes in the fourth quarter of 2021 were lower than 2020 due to lower supply availability from higher maintenance activity and production curtailments at one of the Company’s U.K. plants due to high natural gas costs.

Cost of sales for the fourth quarter of 2021 was higher compared to 2020 primarily due to higher natural gas costs and higher maintenance costs.

In the fourth quarter of 2021, the average cost of natural gas reflected in the Company’s cost of sales was $6.00 per MMBtu compared to the average cost of natural gas in cost of sales of $2.60 per MMBtu in 2020.

Capital Management

Capital Expenditures

Capital expenditures in the fourth quarter and full year 2021 were $132 million and $514 million, respectively. Management projects capital expenditures for full year 2022 will be in a range of $500-$550 million, which includes capital expenditures at the Company’s Donaldsonville, LA, Complex related to green and blue ammonia projects.

Share Repurchase Programs

The Company repurchased approximately 7.5 million shares for $490 million during the fourth quarter of 2021. Over the course of the program, the Company repurchased approximately 18.8 million shares for $977 million of the $1 billion share repurchase authorization that expired on December 31, 2021.

On November 3, 2021, the Board of Directors of CF Industries Holdings, Inc., authorized a new $1.5 billion share repurchase program. The program went into effect January 1, 2022, and runs through the end of 2024.

CHS, Inc. Distribution

On January 31, 2022, the Board of Managers of CF Industries Nitrogen, LLC (CFN) approved a semi-annual distribution payment to CHS Inc. (CHS) of $247 million for the distribution period ended December 31, 2021. The distribution was paid on January 31, 2022. Total distributions to CHS pertaining to 2021 were approximately $377 million.

Clean Energy Initiatives

CF Industries continues to advance its plans to support the global hydrogen and clean fuel economy, which is expected to grow significantly over the next decade, through the production of blue and green ammonia and other initiatives in development across the Company’s network. Construction of North America’s first commercial scale green ammonia project has commenced at the Company’s Donaldsonville Complex with completion expected in 2023. Additionally, the Company has begun activities related to the Board of Directors-approved projects to install carbon dioxide dehydration and compression equipment at the Donaldsonville and the Yazoo City complexes. These projects will enable the annual production of up to 1.25 million tons of low-carbon blue ammonia – ammonia produced with the corresponding CO₂ byproduct removed through carbon capture and sequestration – from the Company’s existing network starting in 2024.

UAN Antidumping and Countervailing Duty Investigations

On June 30, 2021, CF Industries, through certain of its production facilities, filed petitions with Commerce and the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) requesting the initiation of antidumping and countervailing duty investigations on imports of UAN from Russia and Trinidad.

CF Industries, which is the largest producer of UAN in the United States, requested the investigations due to the harm the domestic UAN industry has experienced from dumped and unfairly subsidized UAN imports from Russia and Trinidad. CF Industries filed its petitions under U.S. antidumping and countervailing duty laws, which authorize Commerce to level the playing field for domestic industries injured by foreign imports that are dumped and unfairly subsidized.

On August 13, 2021, the ITC issued an affirmative decision in the preliminary phase of its antidumping and countervailing duty investigation of UAN imports from Russia and Trinidad. As a result of the ITC’s determination, Commerce conducted its own investigations of UAN imports from Russia and Trinidad. On January 27, 2022, Commerce issued preliminary determinations that Russian UAN imports are dumped (i.e., sold at less than fair value) into the U.S. at margins ranging from 9.15% to 127.19%, and that Trinidadian UAN imports are dumped into the U.S. at a margin of 63.08%. As a result of these determinations, Commerce imposed cash deposit requirements on imports of UAN from Russia and Trinidad, based on the preliminary dumping margins. Additional countervailing duty cash deposit requirements have been in place since Commerce’s preliminary determination in November 2021 that Russian UAN imports are unfairly subsidized at rates ranging from 9.66% to 9.84%, and that Trinidadian UAN imports are unfairly subsidized at a rate of 1.83%.

Under U.S. law, both Commerce and the ITC must make final affirmative determinations in order for Commerce to issue AD/CVD orders, which would remain in place for at least five years. Commerce and the ITC are expected to make final determinations in the summer of 2022. At this time, management cannot predict the outcome of the proceedings, including whether antidumping or countervailing duties will be imposed on imports from either country, or the rate of any such duties.

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Ammonia Segment

CF Industries’ ammonia segment produces anhydrous ammonia (ammonia), which is the base product that the Company manufactures, containing 82 percent nitrogen and 18 percent hydrogen. The results of the ammonia segment consist of sales of ammonia to external customers for its nitrogen content as a fertilizer, in emissions control and in other industrial applications. The Company has also announced steps to produce blue and green ammonia and market to external customers for its hydrogen content in clean energy applications. In addition, the Company upgrades ammonia into other nitrogen products such as urea, UAN and AN.

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Comparison of 2021 to 2020:

• Ammonia sales volume decreased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due to lower supply availability from lower production.
• Ammonia average selling prices increased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due to strong global demand as well as decreased global supply availability as higher global energy costs drove lower global operating rates.
• Ammonia adjusted gross margin per ton increased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due to higher average selling prices and the gain the Company recognized from the net settlement of certain natural gas contracts with suppliers during February 2021, partially offset by higher realized natural gas costs and higher maintenance costs. 

Granular Urea Segment

CF Industries’ granular urea segment produces granular urea, which contains 46 percent nitrogen. Produced from ammonia and carbon dioxide, it has the highest nitrogen content of any of the Company’s solid nitrogen products.

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Comparison of 2021 to 2020:

• Granular urea sales volume decreased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due to lower supply availability from lower production partially offset by purchased urea.
• Urea average selling prices increased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due to strong global demand as well as decreased global supply availability as higher global energy costs drove lower global operating rates.
• Granular urea adjusted gross margin per ton increased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due to higher average selling prices, partially offset by higher realized natural gas costs and higher maintenance costs. 

UAN Segment

CF Industries’ UAN segment produces urea ammonium nitrate solution (UAN). UAN is a liquid product with nitrogen content that typically ranges from 28 percent to 32 percent and is produced by combining urea and ammonium nitrate in solution.

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Comparison of 2021 to 2020:

• UAN sales volume decreased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due to lower supply availability from lower production in the first three quarters of 2021.
• UAN average selling prices increased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due to strong global demand as well as decreased global supply availability as higher global energy costs drove lower global operating rates.
• UAN adjusted gross margin per ton increased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due to higher average selling prices, partially offset by higher realized natural gas costs and higher maintenance costs. 

AN Segment

CF Industries’ AN segment produces ammonium nitrate (AN). AN is used as a nitrogen fertilizer with nitrogen content between 29 percent to 35 percent, and also is used by industrial customers for commercial explosives and blasting systems.

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Comparison of 2021 to 2020:

• AN sales volume decreased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due to lower supply availability from lower production and production curtailments at the Company’s U.K. plants due to high natural gas costs.
• AN average selling prices for the full year 2021 increased compared to 2020 due to strong global demand as well as decreased global supply availability as higher global energy costs drove lower global operating rates.
• AN adjusted gross margin per ton decreased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due primarily to higher realized natural gas costs and higher maintenance costs, partially offset by higher average selling prices.

Other Segment

CF Industries’ Other segment includes diesel exhaust fluid (DEF), urea liquor, nitric acid and compound fertilizer products (NPKs).

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Comparison of 2021 to 2020:

• Other segment sales volume for the full year 2021 was unchanged compared to 2020.
• Other average selling prices for the full year 2021 increased compared to 2020 due to strong global demand as well as decreased global supply availability as higher global energy costs drove lower global operating rates.
• Other segment adjusted gross margin per ton increased for the full year 2021 compared to 2020 due to higher average selling prices, partially offset by higher realized natural gas costs and higher maintenance costs.

Dividend Payment

On February 2, 2022, CF Industries’ Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per common share. The dividend will be paid on February 28, 2022 to stockholders of record as of February 15, 2022.

Conference Call

CF Industries will hold a conference call to discuss its full year and fourth quarter 2021 results at 10:00 a.m. ET on Wednesday, February 16, 2022. This conference call will include discussion of CF Industries’ business environment and outlook. Investors can access the call and find dial-in information on the Investor Relations section of the Company’s website at www.cfindustries.com.

Planned Schedule for First, Second and Third Quarter 2022 Results and Conference Calls

CF Industries plans to announce its quarterly financial results and hold conference calls to discuss the results on the following days in 2022:

• First Quarter 2022
  • Quarterly Financial Results: after the market close on Wednesday, May 4, 2022
  • Conference Call: Thursday, May 5, 2022

• Second Quarter 2022
  • Quarterly Financial Results: after the market close on Monday, August 1, 2022
  • Conference Call: Tuesday, August 2, 2022

• Third Quarter 2022
  • Quarterly Financial Results: after the market close on Wednesday, November 2, 2022
  • Conference Call: Thursday, November 3, 2022

About CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

At CF Industries, our mission is to provide clean energy to feed and fuel the world sustainably. With our employees focused on safe and reliable operations, environmental stewardship, and disciplined capital and corporate management, we are on a path to decarbonize our ammonia production network – the world’s largest – to enable green and blue hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement and other industrial activities. Our nine manufacturing complexes in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, an unparalleled storage, transportation and distribution network in North America, and logistics capabilities enabling a global reach underpin our strategy to leverage our unique capabilities to accelerate the world’s transition to clean energy. CF Industries routinely posts investor announcements and additional information on the Company’s website at www.cfindustries.com and encourages those interested in the Company to check there frequently.

Note Regarding Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The Company reports its financial results in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Management believes that EBITDA, EBITDA per ton, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA per ton, free cash flow, and, on a segment basis, adjusted gross margin, adjusted gross margin as a percent of net sales and adjusted gross margin per product ton and per nutrient ton, which are non-GAAP financial measures, provide additional meaningful information regarding the Company’s performance and financial strength. Management uses these measures, and believes they are useful to investors, as supplemental financial measures in the comparison of year-over-year performance. Non-GAAP financial measures should be viewed in addition to, and not as an alternative for, the Company’s reported results prepared in accordance with GAAP. In addition, because not all companies use identical calculations, EBITDA, EBITDA per ton, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA per ton, free cash flow, adjusted gross margin, adjusted gross margin as a percent of net sales and adjusted gross margin per product ton and per nutrient ton, included in this release may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies. Reconciliations of EBITDA, EBITDA per ton, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA per ton, and free cash flow to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are provided in the tables accompanying this release under “CF Industries Holdings, Inc.-Selected Financial Information-Non-GAAP Disclosure Items.” Reconciliations of adjusted gross margin, adjusted gross margin as a percent of net sales and adjusted gross margin per product ton and per nutrient ton to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are provided in the segment tables included in this release.

Safe Harbor Statement

All statements in this communication by CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (together with its subsidiaries, the “Company”), other than those relating to historical facts, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by their use of terms such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “predict,” “project,” “will” or “would” and similar terms and phrases, including references to assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the Company’s control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. These statements may include, but are not limited to, statements about strategic plans and management’s expectations with respect to the production of green and blue (low-carbon) ammonia, the development of carbon capture and sequestration projects, the transition to and growth of a hydrogen economy, greenhouse gas reduction targets, projected capital expenditures, statements about future financial and operating results, and other items described in this communication.

Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among others, the cyclical nature of the Company’s business and the impact of global supply and demand on the Company’s selling prices; the global commodity nature of the Company’s nitrogen products, the conditions in the international market for nitrogen products, and the intense global competition from other producers; conditions in the United States, Europe and other agricultural areas; the volatility of natural gas prices in North America and Europe; weather conditions; the seasonality of the fertilizer business; the impact of changing market conditions on the Company’s forward sales programs; difficulties in securing the supply and delivery of raw materials, increases in their costs or delays or interruptions in their delivery; reliance on third party providers of transportation services and equipment; risks associated with cyber security; the Company’s reliance on a limited number of key facilities; acts of terrorism and regulations to combat terrorism; risks associated with international operations; the significant risks and hazards involved in producing and handling the Company’s products against which the Company may not be fully insured; the Company’s ability to manage its indebtedness and any additional indebtedness that may be incurred; the Company’s ability to maintain compliance with covenants under its revolving credit agreement and the agreements governing its indebtedness; downgrades of the Company’s credit ratings; risks associated with changes in tax laws and disagreements with taxing authorities; risks involving derivatives and the effectiveness of the Company’s risk measurement and hedging activities; potential liabilities and expenditures related to environmental, health and safety laws and regulations and permitting requirements; regulatory restrictions and requirements related to greenhouse gas emissions; the development and growth of the market for green and blue (low-carbon) ammonia and the risks and uncertainties relating to the development and implementation of the Company’s green and blue (low-carbon) ammonia projects; risks associated with expansions of the Company’s business, including unanticipated adverse consequences and the significant resources that could be required; risks associated with the operation or management of the strategic venture with CHS (the “CHS Strategic Venture”), risks and uncertainties relating to the market prices of the fertilizer products that are the subject of the supply agreement with CHS over the life of the supply agreement, and the risk that any challenges related to the CHS Strategic Venture will harm the Company’s other business relationships; and the impact of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, including measures taken by governmental authorities to slow the spread of the virus, on our business and operations.

More detailed information about factors that may affect the Company’s performance and could cause actual results to differ materially from those in any forward-looking statements may be found in CF Industries Holdings, Inc.’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including CF Industries Holdings, Inc.’s most recent annual and quarterly reports on Form 10-K and Form 10-Q, which are available in the Investor Relations section of the Company’s web site. It is not possible to predict or identify all risks and uncertainties that might affect the accuracy of our forward-looking statements and, consequently, our descriptions of such risks and uncertainties should not be considered exhaustive. There is no guarantee that any of the events, plans or goals anticipated by these forward-looking statements will occur, and if any of the events do occur, there is no guarantee what effect they will have on our business, results of operations, cash flows, financial condition and future prospects. Forward-looking statements are given only as of the date of this communication and the Company disclaims any obligation to update or revise the forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.